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Almeria

Almeria Relegation Chances

La Liga 2 26/27

5.4%
Winner
11.5%
Promotion
24.0%
Playoff
9.0%
↓ -4.7% since last round
Relegation

Almeria are an outside contender for relegation, with a 9.0% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 5Last updated: 8 hours ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner5.4%
Promotion11.5%
Playoff24.0%
Relegation9.0%

Almeria are currently 6th in the La Liga 2 26/27 table with 5 matches played (3W 0D 2L, 9 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 9%, Almeria are currently a outside contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Almeria's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Almeria's probability of relegation has dropped from 14% to 9%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Almeria achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 La Liga 2 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full La Liga 2 26/27 table →

View full Almeria stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.