
Bayern München Relegation Chances
Bundesliga 26/27
Bayern München face long odds for relegation, with only a 0.7% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 14.3% |
| Champions League | 44.9% |
| Europa League | 7.8% |
| Conference League | 6.9% |
| Relegation | 0.7% |
Bayern München are currently 2nd in the Bundesliga 26/27 table with 4 matches played (3W 1D 0L, 10 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 0.7%, Bayern München are currently a long shot for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Bayern München's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Bayern München's probability of relegation has dropped from 3% to 0.7%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Bayern München achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Bundesliga 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team
| Borussia Dortmund | 0.3% |
| SC Freiburg | 0.7% |
| FC Augsburg | 2.2% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2.3% |
| FSV Mainz | 2.2% |
| Elversberg | 2.3% |
| SV Werder Bremen | 2.4% |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig | 3.2% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 4.6% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Bundesliga 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.