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FSV Mainz UCL Chances 2027 — 26.5%

Bundesliga 26/27 · Round 4 of 34 · Rank #6 · 4 MP

FSV Mainz Bundesliga 26/27 — Key Insights
6.0%
Win
2.2%
Releg
#6
Position
DWLW
Last 4 matches
FSV Mainz are in realistic contention for UCL at 26.5%, currently ranked 6th — updated after every match.

Live Updated at

FSV Mainz are 6th in the Bundesliga 26/27 2027 season after 4 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 26.5% chance of ucl — with 30 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 4 Bundesliga 26/27 matches, FSV Mainz have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their ucl probability, FSV Mainz's win chance currently stands at 6.0%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Bundesliga 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how FSV Mainz's 2027 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 6.0%
  • UCL: 26.5%
  • UEL: 6.9%
  • ECL: 6.8%
  • Releg: 2.2%

More analysis

← View all Bundesliga 26/27 standings and odds

See also:

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

FSV Mainz#6Win: 6.0%UCL: 26.5%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.2%5:00 PMLeverkusen#5Win: 6.0%UCL: 26.9%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.3%
30%
46%
Schalke 04#11Win: 3.0%UCL: 16.7%UEL: 5.4%ECL: 5.6%Releg: 4.7%5:00 PMFSV Mainz#6Win: 6.0%UCL: 26.5%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.2%
83%
5%
FSV Mainz#6Win: 6.0%UCL: 26.5%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.2%5:00 PMWerder Bremen#8Win: 5.5%UCL: 25.5%UEL: 6.8%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 2.4%
30%
46%
Elversberg#7Win: 5.8%UCL: 25.9%UEL: 6.8%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 2.3%5:00 PMFSV Mainz#6Win: 6.0%UCL: 26.5%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.2%
65%
16%
FSV Mainz#6Win: 6.0%UCL: 26.5%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.2%5:00 PMBayern München#2Win: 14.3%UCL: 44.9%UEL: 7.8%ECL: 6.9%Releg: 0.7%
30%
46%

Latest News

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-09-19Gladbach3 - 4FSV Mainz#6Win: 6.0%UCL: 26.5%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.2%
2026-09-12FSV Mainz#6Win: 6.0%UCL: 26.5%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.2%1 - 3Frankfurt
2026-09-06Hamburger SV#16Win: 1.6%UCL: 10.0%UEL: 3.8%ECL: 4.2%Releg: 9.5%0 - 5FSV Mainz#6Win: 6.0%UCL: 26.5%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.2%
2026-08-29FSV Mainz#6Win: 6.0%UCL: 26.5%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.2%0 - 0Paderborn#12Win: 2.2%UCL: 13.3%UEL: 4.6%ECL: 5.0%Releg: 6.2%