Bundesliga 25/26·2026-03-22

Stuttgart Soars Toward Champions League, Frankfurt's European Hopes Dim

· Round-up

VfB Stuttgart took a significant step towards next season's Champions League with an emphatic 5-2 victory over FC Augsburg. This win propels Stuttgart to a commanding third-place position in the Bundesliga standings, with their Champions League qualification probability skyrocketing by 12.4% to an impressive 90.7%. As Stuttgart continues to strengthen their hold on a top-four finish, the team is also seeing a dip in their Europa League probability, which now sits at 8.1%, reflecting the team's firm grasp on a Champions League spot.

In contrast, Eintracht Frankfurt's hopes of European football took a hit following a surprising 2-1 defeat to FSV Mainz. This loss has effectively eliminated Frankfurt from the Europa League race, with their chances plummeting from 2.1% to a mere 0.7%. Furthermore, their prospects for the Conference League have also diminished, now standing at 7.3%. Mainz, on the other hand, has reason to celebrate as they are now virtually safe from relegation, with their probability dropping from 2.4% to just 0.4%.

Meanwhile, St. Pauli's 2-1 defeat to SC Freiburg has intensified their relegation worries, with their chances of dropping to the second tier increasing by 7.2% to 22.2%. SC Freiburg's victory, although not significantly affecting their own European ambitions, keeps them in the top half, just a point behind Eintracht Frankfurt.

As the Bundesliga season nears its conclusion, all eyes will be on RasenBallsport Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen, who are battling for European spots with fluctuating probabilities. With seven rounds remaining, the race for European qualification and the fight against relegation promise to deliver thrilling drama.