FSV Mainz Relegation Chances
Bundesliga 26/27
FSV Mainz face long odds for relegation, with only a 2.2% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 6.0% |
| Champions League | 26.5% |
| Europa League | 6.9% |
| Conference League | 6.8% |
| Relegation | 2.2% |
FSV Mainz are currently 6th in the Bundesliga 26/27 table with 4 matches played (2W 1D 1L, 7 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 2.2%, FSV Mainz are currently a long shot for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See FSV Mainz's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, FSV Mainz's probability of relegation has dropped from 2.9% to 2.2%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often FSV Mainz achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Bundesliga 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team
| Borussia Dortmund | 0.3% |
| Bayern München | 0.7% |
| SC Freiburg | 0.7% |
| FC Augsburg | 2.2% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2.3% |
| Elversberg | 2.3% |
| SV Werder Bremen | 2.4% |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig | 3.2% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 4.6% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Bundesliga 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.