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Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund Champions League Chances

Bundesliga 26/27

15.4%
Winner
46.2%
↓ -0.5% since last round
Champions League
7.7%
Europa League
6.8%
Conference League
0.7%
Relegation

Borussia Dortmund remain in realistic contention for Champions League qualification at 46.2%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 3Last updated: 3 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner15.4%
Champions League46.2%
Europa League7.7%
Conference League6.8%
Relegation0.7%

Borussia Dortmund are currently 2nd in the Bundesliga 26/27 table with 3 matches played (3W 0D 0L, 9 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 46.2%, Borussia Dortmund are currently a realistic contender for Champions League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Borussia Dortmund's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Borussia Dortmund's probability of Champions League qualification has dropped from 49.6% to 46.2%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Borussia Dortmund achieves Champions League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Bundesliga 26/27 — Champions League odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Bundesliga 26/27 table →

View full Borussia Dortmund stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.