
Borussia Dortmund Champions League Chances
Bundesliga 26/27
Borussia Dortmund remain in realistic contention for Champions League qualification at 46.2%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 15.4% |
| Champions League | 46.2% |
| Europa League | 7.7% |
| Conference League | 6.8% |
| Relegation | 0.7% |
Borussia Dortmund are currently 2nd in the Bundesliga 26/27 table with 3 matches played (3W 0D 0L, 9 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 46.2%, Borussia Dortmund are currently a realistic contender for Champions League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Borussia Dortmund's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Borussia Dortmund's probability of Champions League qualification has dropped from 49.6% to 46.2%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Borussia Dortmund achieves Champions League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Bundesliga 26/27 — Champions League odds for every team
| SC Freiburg | 47.7% |
| FC Augsburg | 35.6% |
| Bayern München | 34.3% |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig | 30.4% |
| Elversberg | 28.7% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 19.9% |
| FSV Mainz | 19.9% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 19.4% |
| SV Werder Bremen | 18.9% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Bundesliga 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.