
Castellon Promotion Chances
La Liga 2 26/27
Castellon remain in realistic contention for promotion at 26.0%.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 14.3% |
| Promotion | 26.0% |
| Playoff | 32.1% |
| Relegation | 2.8% |
Castellon are currently 2nd in the La Liga 2 26/27 table with 5 matches played (4W 1D 0L, 13 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 26%, Castellon are currently a realistic contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Castellon's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Castellon's probability of promotion has climbed from 21% to 26%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Castellon achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 La Liga 2 26/27 — Promotion odds for every team
| Eibar | 36.9% |
| Mallorca | 14.4% |
| Sabadell | 13.7% |
| Girona | 11.7% |
| Almeria | 11.5% |
| Sporting Gijon | 10.6% |
| Real Sociedad B | 9.0% |
| Burgos CF | 8.9% |
| Granada | 8.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full La Liga 2 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.