Chelsea Winner Chances
Premier League 26/27
Chelsea face long odds for winning the title, with only a 3.4% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 3.4% |
| Champions League | 17.6% |
| Europa League | 5.5% |
| Relegation | 11.6% |
Chelsea are currently 10th in the Premier League 26/27 table with 5 matches played (2W 1D 2L, 7 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 3.4%, Chelsea are currently a long shot for winning the title. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Chelsea's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Chelsea's probability of winning the title has dropped from 5.8% to 3.4%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Chelsea achieves winning the title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Premier League 26/27 — Winner odds for every team
| Manchester City | 26.1% |
| Arsenal | 13.2% |
| Brighton | 8.9% |
| Brentford | 6.7% |
| Leeds United | 6.4% |
| Liverpool | 6.1% |
| Everton | 6.2% |
| Hull City | 4.8% |
| Newcastle | 4.7% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Premier League 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.