Corinthians Semifinals Chances
Copa Libertadores 2026
Corinthians remain in realistic contention for reaching the Semifinals at 31.0%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 7.7% |
| Final | 15.4% |
| Semifinals | 31.0% |
| Quarterfinals | 62.0% |
| Round of 16 | 100.0% |
| Group Stage Exit | 0.0% |
Corinthians are currently 4th in the Copa Libertadores 2026 table with 6 matches played (3W 2D 1L, 11 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 31%, Corinthians are currently a realistic contender for reaching the Semifinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Corinthians's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Corinthians achieves reaching the Semifinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Copa Libertadores 2026 — Semifinals odds for every team
| Rosario Central | 35.2% |
| Flamengo | 35.2% |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 30.0% |
| LDU | 28.8% |
| Palmeiras | 26.9% |
| Coquimbo Unido | 28.0% |
| Universidad Católica | 27.2% |
| Independiente del Valle | 21.2% |
| Estudiantes de La Plata | 23.1% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Copa Libertadores 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.