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Eibar

Eibar Relegation Chances

La Liga 2 26/27

22.8%
Winner
36.9%
Promotion
32.0%
Playoff
1.4%
↑ +0.1% since last round
Relegation

Eibar face long odds for relegation, with only a 1.4% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 5Last updated: 9 hours ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner22.8%
Promotion36.9%
Playoff32.0%
Relegation1.4%

Eibar are currently 1st in the La Liga 2 26/27 table with 5 matches played (5W 0D 0L, 15 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 1.4%, Eibar are currently a long shot for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Eibar's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Eibar's probability of relegation has dropped from 4.7% to 1.4%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Eibar achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 La Liga 2 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full La Liga 2 26/27 table →

View full Eibar stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.