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La Liga 26/27 — Round 7 of 38

Updated at

Probability of winning the championship
#Team%
1Barcelona logoBarcelona#1Win: 44.1%UCL: 82.1%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 3.5%Releg: 0.1%
44.1%
2Betis logoBetis#2Win: 14.7%UCL: 55.0%UEL: 8.6%ECL: 7.2%Releg: 0.7%
14.7%
3Real Madrid logoReal Madrid#3Win: 12.6%UCL: 50.3%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.4%Releg: 1.0%
12.6%
4Atlético Madrid logoAtlético Madrid#4Win: 7.6%UCL: 38.0%UEL: 8.7%ECL: 7.8%Releg: 2.4%
7.6%
5Sevilla logoSevilla#5Win: 3.0%UCL: 21.2%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 7.2%Releg: 6.5%
3.0%
6Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad#6Win: 3.0%UCL: 20.3%UEL: 6.7%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 7.2%
3.0%
7Athletic Bilbao logoAthletic Bilbao#10Win: 2.5%UCL: 19.0%UEL: 6.6%ECL: 6.5%Releg: 8.2%
2.5%
8Alavés logoAlavés#7Win: 1.8%UCL: 14.4%UEL: 5.6%ECL: 5.7%Releg: 10.6%
1.8%
9Getafe logoGetafe#11Win: 1.7%UCL: 14.0%UEL: 5.3%ECL: 5.7%Releg: 11.0%
1.7%
10Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano#9Win: 1.6%UCL: 13.4%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.6%Releg: 12.0%
1.6%
11Osasuna logoOsasuna#8Win: 1.5%UCL: 12.8%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.4%Releg: 12.4%
1.5%
12Villarreal logoVillarreal#12Win: 1.3%UCL: 11.8%UEL: 4.9%ECL: 5.3%Releg: 13.4%
1.3%
13Celta logoCelta#13Win: 1.3%UCL: 11.3%UEL: 4.8%ECL: 5.1%Releg: 13.8%
1.3%
14Levante logoLevante#15Win: 1.0%UCL: 9.5%UEL: 4.1%ECL: 4.6%Releg: 17.0%
1.0%
15Racing Santander logoRacing Santander#14Win: 0.8%UCL: 7.8%UEL: 3.4%ECL: 3.9%Releg: 20.5%
0.8%
16Elche logoElche#16Win: 0.4%UCL: 4.6%UEL: 2.4%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 28.3%
0.4%
17Espanyol logoEspanyol#17Win: 0.4%UCL: 4.9%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 27.4%
0.4%
18Valencia logoValencia#18Win: 0.3%UCL: 4.5%UEL: 2.3%ECL: 2.8%Releg: 29.2%
0.3%
19Deportivo logoDeportivo#19Win: 0.2%UCL: 2.7%UEL: 1.5%ECL: 2.0%Releg: 37.8%
0.2%
20Málaga logoMálaga#20Win: 0.2%UCL: 2.5%UEL: 1.5%ECL: 1.8%Releg: 40.5%
0.2%

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Barcelona#1Winner: 44.1%Champions League: 82.1%Europa League: 5.1%Conference League: 3.5%Relegation: 0.1%5:00 PMGetafe#11Winner: 1.7%Champions League: 14.0%Europa League: 5.3%Conference League: 5.7%Relegation: 11.0%
98%
0%
Alavés#7Winner: 1.8%Champions League: 14.4%Europa League: 5.6%Conference League: 5.7%Relegation: 10.6%5:00 PMAtlético Madrid#4Winner: 7.6%Champions League: 38.0%Europa League: 8.7%Conference League: 7.8%Relegation: 2.4%
67%
14%
Racing Santander#14Winner: 0.8%Champions League: 7.8%Europa League: 3.4%Conference League: 3.9%Relegation: 20.5%5:00 PMValencia#18Winner: 0.3%Champions League: 4.5%Europa League: 2.3%Conference League: 2.8%Relegation: 29.2%
66%
14%
Levante#15Winner: 1.0%Champions League: 9.5%Europa League: 4.1%Conference League: 4.6%Relegation: 17.0%5:00 PMSevilla#5Winner: 3.0%Champions League: 21.2%Europa League: 6.9%Conference League: 7.2%Relegation: 6.5%
42%
34%
Elche#16Winner: 0.4%Champions League: 4.6%Europa League: 2.4%Conference League: 2.9%Relegation: 28.3%5:00 PMCelta#13Winner: 1.3%Champions League: 11.3%Europa League: 4.8%Conference League: 5.1%Relegation: 13.8%
46%
31%
Betis#2Winner: 14.7%Champions League: 55.0%Europa League: 8.6%Conference League: 7.2%Relegation: 0.7%5:00 PMOsasuna#8Winner: 1.5%Champions League: 12.8%Europa League: 5.1%Conference League: 5.4%Relegation: 12.4%
71%
9%
Real Madrid#3Winner: 12.6%Champions League: 50.3%Europa League: 8.7%Conference League: 7.4%Relegation: 1.0%5:00 PMVillarreal#12Winner: 1.3%Champions League: 11.8%Europa League: 4.9%Conference League: 5.3%Relegation: 13.4%
96%
1%
Rayo Vallecano#9Winner: 1.6%Champions League: 13.4%Europa League: 5.1%Conference League: 5.6%Relegation: 12.0%5:00 PMAthletic Bilbao#10Winner: 2.5%Champions League: 19.0%Europa League: 6.6%Conference League: 6.5%Relegation: 8.2%
75%
9%
Málaga#20Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 2.5%Europa League: 1.5%Conference League: 1.8%Relegation: 40.5%5:00 PMEspanyol#17Winner: 0.4%Champions League: 4.9%Europa League: 2.5%Conference League: 2.9%Relegation: 27.4%
6%
79%
Real Sociedad#6Winner: 3.0%Champions League: 20.3%Europa League: 6.7%Conference League: 6.7%Relegation: 7.2%5:00 PMDeportivo#19Winner: 0.2%Champions League: 2.7%Europa League: 1.5%Conference League: 2.0%Relegation: 37.8%
56%
21%

After Round 7: Who Improved Their Chances the Most?

  • Real Madrid's UCL probability dropped from 82% to 50.3% (-31.7%).
  • Atlético Madrid's UCL probability climbed from 22.3% to 38% (+15.7%).
  • Alavés's UCL probability dropped from 29.3% to 14.4% (-14.9%).
  • Sevilla's UCL probability climbed from 8.5% to 21.2% (+12.7%).
  • Valencia's Releg probability dropped from 41.7% to 29.2% (-12.5%).

Updated after every round · Monte Carlo simulation

La Liga 26/27 — Season Outlook

La Liga 26/27Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win the La Liga 26/27?
Based on our supercomputer's latest simulations, Barcelona currently have the highest title probability at 44%. With 31 rounds remaining the race is still live — CupChances re-runs up to millions of simulations every 10 minutes during every match.
Which teams are most at risk of relegation from the La Liga 26/27?
Málaga currently faces the highest relegation risk at 41%, followed by Deportivo at 38%. These figures update every 10 minutes during every match as the season unfolds.
How does CupChances calculate La Liga 26/27 probabilities?
Our supercomputer runs up to millions of Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining season, using each team's current points, goal difference and remaining fixture list. Every simulated season produces a complete final table, and the probabilities represent how often each outcome occurs across all those simulations.
How often are the La Liga 26/27 predictions updated?
Probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match — as long as the game is live, the numbers keep updating. Enable push notifications on this page to receive live probability shifts directly on your device.

Past editions

La Liga Title Chances 2627 — All Teams Ranked | CupChances