Flamengo Libertadores Chances
Brasileirão 2026
Flamengo are the clear favourite for Copa Libertadores with a 75.3% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 18.7% |
| Libertadores | 75.3% |
| Libertadores Qualification | 12.7% |
| Copa Sulamericana | 10.9% |
| Relegation | 0.1% |
Flamengo are currently 2nd in the Brasileirão 2026 table with 17 matches played (10W 4D 3L, 34 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 75.3%, Flamengo are currently a strong contender for Copa Libertadores. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Flamengo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Flamengo achieves Copa Libertadores across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileirão 2026 — Libertadores odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 95.4% |
| Fluminense | 46.4% |
| Athletico-PR | 40.4% |
| Bragantino | 34.6% |
| Coritiba | 15.7% |
| Bahia | 22.4% |
| São Paulo | 12.8% |
| Atlético-MG | 9.7% |
| Corinthians | 8.7% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileirão 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.