FSV Mainz Conference League Chances
Bundesliga 26/27
FSV Mainz are an outside contender for Conference League qualification, with a 5.9% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 4.1% |
| Champions League | 19.9% |
| Europa League | 5.7% |
| Conference League | 5.9% |
| Relegation | 4.3% |
FSV Mainz are currently 8th in the Bundesliga 26/27 table with 3 matches played (1W 1D 1L, 4 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 5.9%, FSV Mainz are currently a outside contender for Conference League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See FSV Mainz's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, FSV Mainz's probability of Conference League qualification has dropped from 11.4% to 5.9%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often FSV Mainz achieves Conference League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Bundesliga 26/27 — Conference League odds for every team
| SC Freiburg | 6.7% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 6.8% |
| FC Augsburg | 6.9% |
| Bayern München | 7.0% |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig | 6.8% |
| Elversberg | 6.4% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 6.0% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 5.8% |
| SV Werder Bremen | 5.8% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Bundesliga 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.