Coppa Italia 2026/27
KNOCKOUT OUTLOOK
Expected champion
Inter
Win: 22.3%
Knockout bracket outlook
Predicted bracket based on up to 1,000,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
Final
Inter
Roma67%33%
SF
Inter
Como60%40%
Roma
Atalanta64%36%
QF
Inter
Bologna71%29%
MilanComo40%60%
Roma
Juventus63%37%
Atalanta
Napoli52%48%
R16
Inter
Genoa83%17%
Bologna
Palermo68%32%
Milan
Monza69%31%
Como
Cremonese82%18%
Roma
Cagliari81%19%
Juventus
Frosinone73%27%
Atalanta
Venezia59%41%
Napoli
Fiorentina77%23%
Second Round
Genoa
Catanzaro69%31%
MantovaPalermo47%53%
TorinoMonza40%60%
Cremonese
Parma51%49%
Cagliari
Hellas Verona68%32%
SassuoloFrosinone43%57%
Venezia
Pisa88%12%
Fiorentina
Udinese50%50%
First Round
Parma2
Catania0Cagliari1
Arezzo0Monza3
Avellino0Fiorentina4
Benevento1Catanzaro2
Sudtirol2Udinese1
Padova0Venezia3
Modena2Torino1
Carrarese0Frosinone4
Juve Stabia1Genoa4
Ascoli1Hellas Verona2 (p)
Virtus Entella2
Lazio0Mantova2Pisa1 (p)
Empoli1Sassuolo3
Cesena0Cremonese2
Sampdoria0Palermo2
Lecce0Preliminary Round
Vicenza4Catania5Ascoli3
Potenza1Arezzo2
Brescia0Benevento5
Ravenna3Knockout probability table
| # | Team | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 74.6% | 52.5% | 33.6% | 22.3% | 22.3% |
| 2 | Como | 70.3% | 40.2% | 22.3% | 13.3% | 13.3% |
| 3 | Roma | 74.4% | 46.0% | 25.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% |
| 4 | Juventus | 60.3% | 26.9% | 14.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| 5 | Napoli | 62.6% | 29.0% | 14.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| 6 | Atalanta | 56.2% | 30.9% | 14.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% |
| 7 | Milan | 56.6% | 26.3% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| 8 | Venezia | 38.6% | 24.0% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| 9 | Monza | 26.0% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| 10 | Bologna | 52.8% | 20.9% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| 11 | Frosinone | 22.5% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| 12 | Palermo | 24.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| 13 | Genoa | 15.3% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| 14 | Udinese | 18.7% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 17.1% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| 16 | Torino | 17.4% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| 17 | Cagliari | 17.3% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 18.7% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| 19 | Parma | 14.7% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| 20 | Mantova | 22.3% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| 21 | Catanzaro | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| 22 | Cremonese | 15.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| 23 | Hellas Verona | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 24 | Sudtirol | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 25 | Pisa | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |