Coppa Italia 2026/27

KNOCKOUT OUTLOOK

Expected champion

Inter

Win: 18.9%

Knockout bracket outlook

Predicted bracket based on up to 1,000,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

Final

Inter

Roma

59%41%

SF

Inter

Como

61%39%

Roma

Atalanta

64%36%

QF

Inter

Bologna

69%31%

Milan

Como

46%54%

Roma

Juventus

63%37%

Atalanta

Napoli

55%45%

R16

Inter

Genoa

76%24%

Bologna

Palermo

54%46%

Milan

Monza

57%43%

Como

Cremonese

64%36%

Roma

Hellas Verona

71%29%

Juventus

Sassuolo

63%37%

Atalanta

Fiorentina

61%39%

Napoli

Udinese

58%42%

Second Round

Genoa

Catanzaro

77%23%

Mantova2

Palermo5

Torino0

Monza1

Cremonese2

Parma0

Cagliari1

Hellas Verona2

Sassuolo1 (p)

Frosinone1

Fiorentina3

Pisa0

Venezia1

Udinese2

First Round

Parma2

Catania0

Cagliari1

Arezzo0

Monza3

Avellino0

Fiorentina4

Benevento1

Catanzaro2

Sudtirol2

Udinese1

Padova0

Venezia3

Modena2

Torino1

Carrarese0

Frosinone4

Juve Stabia1

Genoa4

Ascoli1

Hellas Verona2 (p)

Virtus Entella2

Lazio0

Mantova2

Pisa1 (p)

Empoli1

Sassuolo3

Cesena0

Cremonese2

Sampdoria0

Palermo2

Lecce0

Preliminary Round

Vicenza4

Catania5

Ascoli3

Potenza1

Arezzo2

Brescia0

Benevento5

Ravenna3

Knockout probability table

#	Team	R16	QF	SF	Final	Win
1	Inter	70.9%	48.1%	29.2%	18.9%	18.9%
2	Roma	71.4%	45.2%	27.6%	13.0%	13.0%
3	Como	64.3%	34.2%	18.9%	11.1%	11.1%
4	Milan	57.4%	28.9%	14.1%	7.5%	7.5%
5	Juventus	62.6%	27.1%	15.2%	6.7%	6.7%
6	Atalanta	61.3%	33.5%	15.6%	6.5%	6.5%
7	Napoli	58.4%	27.8%	13.7%	6.1%	6.1%
8	Monza	42.6%	22.4%	9.8%	5.4%	5.4%
9	Palermo	46.3%	15.5%	7.5%	4.6%	4.6%
10	Bologna	53.7%	21.2%	9.2%	4.3%	4.3%
11	Fiorentina	38.7%	20.6%	8.4%	3.0%	3.0%
12	Udinese	41.6%	18.1%	7.6%	3.0%	3.0%
13	Sassuolo	37.4%	14.4%	6.9%	2.7%	2.7%
14	Cremonese	35.7%	14.4%	5.3%	2.5%	2.5%
15	Genoa	22.3%	11.6%	4.7%	2.3%	2.3%
16	Hellas Verona	28.6%	13.3%	5.1%	1.7%	1.7%
17	Catanzaro	6.7%	3.6%	1.4%	0.7%	0.7%