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Milan

Milan Reaches Quarterfinals Chances

Coppa Italia 2026/27

7.5%
Winner
7.5%
Reaches Final
14.1%
Reaches Semifinals
28.9%
↓ -0.2% since last round
Reaches Quarterfinals
57.4%
Reaches Round of 16

Milan remain in realistic contention for reaching the Quarterfinals at 28.9%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 27Last updated: 20 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner7.5%
Reaches Final7.5%
Reaches Semifinals14.1%
Reaches Quarterfinals28.9%
Reaches Round of 1657.4%

Milan are currently 4th in the Coppa Italia 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 0 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 28.9%, Milan are currently a realistic contender for reaching the Quarterfinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Milan's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 8 rounds, Milan's probability of reaching the Quarterfinals has climbed from 26.3% to 28.9%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Milan achieves reaching the Quarterfinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Coppa Italia 2026/27 — Reaches Quarterfinals odds for every team

Inter48.1%
Roma45.2%
Como34.2%
Juventus27.1%
Atalanta33.5%
Napoli27.8%
Monza22.4%
Palermo15.5%
Bologna21.2%

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Coppa Italia 2026/27 table →

View full Milan stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.