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Milan

Milan Europe League Groups Chances

Serie A 26/27

7.6%
Winner
23.4%
Champions League Groups
14.4%
↑ +1.4% since last round
Europe League Groups
6.3%
Conference League Qualifying
3.9%
Relegation

Milan are an outside contender for Europa League qualification, with a 14.4% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 5Last updated: 15 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner7.6%
Champions League Groups23.4%
Europe League Groups14.4%
Conference League Qualifying6.3%
Relegation3.9%

Milan are currently 5th in the Serie A 26/27 table with 5 matches played (3W 2D 0L, 11 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 14.4%, Milan are currently a outside contender for Europa League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Milan's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Milan's probability of Europa League qualification has climbed from 12.9% to 14.4%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Milan achieves Europa League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Serie A 26/27 — Europe League Groups odds for every team

Roma14.9%
Inter15.1%
Lazio14.6%
Cagliari15.0%
Juventus14.5%
Frosinone14.7%
Como14.3%
Napoli11.3%
Sassuolo11.4%

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Serie A 26/27 table →

View full Milan stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.