Modena Promotion Chances
Serie B 26/27
Modena are an outside contender for promotion, with a 17.3% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 8.9% |
| Promotion | 17.3% |
| Playoff | 41.0% |
| Playout | 5.6% |
| Relegation | 5.2% |
Modena are currently 4th in the Serie B 26/27 table with 5 matches played (3W 1D 1L, 10 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 17.3%, Modena are currently a outside contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Modena's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Modena's probability of promotion has climbed from 13.3% to 17.3%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Modena achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Serie B 26/27 — Promotion odds for every team
| Palermo | 30.7% |
| Sudtirol | 22.3% |
| Mantova | 21.8% |
| Ascoli | 17.1% |
| Padova | 8.2% |
| Benevento | 8.4% |
| Hellas Verona | 8.9% |
| Avellino | 8.5% |
| Cesena | 8.6% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Serie B 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.