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Coppa Italia 2026/27·2026-08-17·Round 2

Decisive Victories Propel Sassuolo and Palermo in Coppa Italia

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

Decisive Victories Propel Sassuolo and Palermo in Coppa Italia

Sassuolo's commanding 3-0 victory over Cesena has resulted in a significant probability swing. Sassuolo's chance of reaching the Round of 16 increased from 9.3% to 17.1%. Their win also propelled them into the Quarterfinals race, with odds jumping from 3.5% to 6.4%. This change reflects a pivotal shift in their standings, moving from 21st to 15th, which denotes a six-position advance.

Palermo also capitalized on their 2-0 win against Lecce, seeing their probability of reaching the Round of 16 rise from 17.5% to 24.9%. Over the last two rounds, Palermo's probability has increased by a total of 8.6%, marking a decisive improvement in their prospects. This performance secures their position and demonstrates their competitive edge in the tournament.

Conversely, Lecce, Cesena, Empoli, and Sampdoria face mathematical elimination from reaching the Round of 16 after their respective defeats. Lecce's probability plummeted from 6.5% to 0%, while Cesena dropped from 3.9% to 0%. Empoli and Sampdoria followed similar trajectories, with their chances also reduced to zero, closing their paths to further progression in the competition.

Cremonese's 2-0 victory over Sampdoria bolstered their Round of 16 probability from 8.1% to 15.0%, and they entered the Quarterfinals race with a rise from 2.9% to 5.4%. As the Coppa Italia progresses, the next rounds will be crucial for teams like Sassuolo and Palermo to consolidate their newfound positions, while others will seek to overcome their setbacks.

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