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Paderborn

Paderborn Relegation Chances

Bundesliga 26/27

2.2%
Winner
13.3%
Champions League
4.6%
Europa League
5.0%
Conference League
6.2%
↓ -4.5% since last round
Relegation

Paderborn are an outside contender for relegation, with a 6.2% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 4Last updated: 18 hours ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner2.2%
Champions League13.3%
Europa League4.6%
Conference League5.0%
Relegation6.2%

Paderborn are currently 12th in the Bundesliga 26/27 table with 4 matches played (1W 1D 2L, 4 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 6.2%, Paderborn are currently a outside contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Paderborn's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Paderborn's probability of relegation has dropped from 8.1% to 6.2%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Paderborn achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Bundesliga 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Bundesliga 26/27 table →

View full Paderborn stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.