Palermo Promotion Chances
Serie B 26/27
Palermo remain in realistic contention for promotion at 30.8%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 18.0% |
| Promotion | 30.8% |
| Playoff | 43.2% |
| Playout | 2.9% |
| Relegation | 2.0% |
Palermo are currently 1st in the Serie B 26/27 table with 5 matches played (4W 1D 0L, 13 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 30.8%, Palermo are currently a realistic contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Palermo's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Palermo achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Serie B 26/27 — Promotion odds for every team
| Sudtirol | 22.7% |
| Mantova | 21.8% |
| Modena | 17.2% |
| Ascoli | 17.0% |
| Padova | 8.2% |
| Benevento | 8.4% |
| Hellas Verona | 8.8% |
| Avellino | 8.6% |
| Cesena | 8.6% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Serie B 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.