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Palmeiras

Palmeiras Group Stage Exit Chances

Copa Libertadores 2026

6.7%
Winner
13.5%
Final
26.9%
Semifinals
53.5%
Quarterfinals
100.0%
Round of 16
0.0%
Group Stage Exit

Palmeiras have no remaining chance of exiting in the group stage according to the model.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 6Last updated: 4 hours ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner6.7%
Final13.5%
Semifinals26.9%
Quarterfinals53.5%
Round of 16100.0%
Group Stage Exit0.0%

Palmeiras are currently 6th in the Copa Libertadores 2026 table with 5 matches played (3W 2D 0L, 11 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

Palmeiras have no remaining mathematical chance of exiting in the group stage. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Palmeiras's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Palmeiras achieves exiting in the group stage across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Copa Libertadores 2026 — Group Stage Exit odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Copa Libertadores 2026 table →

View full Palmeiras stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.