Palmeiras Winner Chances
Copa Libertadores 2026
Palmeiras remain in realistic contention for winning the title at 21.0%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 21.0% |
| Final | 52.4% |
| Semifinals | 100.0% |
| Quarterfinals | 100.0% |
| Round of 16 | 100.0% |
| Group Stage Exit | 0.0% |
Palmeiras are currently 2nd in the Copa Libertadores 2026 table with 6 matches played (3W 2D 1L, 11 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 21%, Palmeiras are currently a realistic contender for winning the title. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Palmeiras's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Palmeiras achieves winning the title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Copa Libertadores 2026 — Winner odds for every team
| Estudiantes de La Plata | 50.1% |
| Flamengo | 17.1% |
| Fluminense | 11.8% |
| Bolívar | 0.0% |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 0.0% |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 0.0% |
| Peñarol | 0.0% |
| Independiente Santa Fe | 0.0% |
| Club Atlético Platense | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Copa Libertadores 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.