Palmeiras Quarterfinals Chances
Copa Libertadores 2026
Palmeiras are strong contenders for reaching the Quarterfinals, sitting at 53.5%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 6.7% |
| Final | 13.5% |
| Semifinals | 26.9% |
| Quarterfinals | 53.5% |
| Round of 16 | 100.0% |
| Group Stage Exit | 0.0% |
Palmeiras are currently 6th in the Copa Libertadores 2026 table with 5 matches played (3W 2D 0L, 11 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 53.5%, Palmeiras are currently a strong contender for reaching the Quarterfinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Palmeiras's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Palmeiras achieves reaching the Quarterfinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Copa Libertadores 2026 — Quarterfinals odds for every team
| Rosario Central | 64.0% |
| Flamengo | 64.5% |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 56.1% |
| Corinthians | 62.0% |
| LDU | 58.6% |
| Coquimbo Unido | 58.5% |
| Universidad Católica | 58.9% |
| Independiente del Valle | 41.4% |
| Estudiantes de La Plata | 46.5% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Copa Libertadores 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.