Real Madrid Relegation Chances
La Liga 26/27
Real Madrid are an outside contender for relegation, with a 15.0% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 5.0% |
| Champions League | 20.0% |
| Europa League | 5.0% |
| Conference League | 5.0% |
| Relegation | 15.0% |
Real Madrid are currently 11th in the La Liga 26/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 0 pts).
🔍 What This Means
At 15%, Real Madrid are currently a outside contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Real Madrid's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Real Madrid achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 La Liga 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team
| Atlético de Madrid | 15.0% |
| Espanyol | 15.0% |
| Getafe | 15.0% |
| Osasuna | 15.0% |
| Deportivo La Coruña | 15.0% |
| Levante | 15.0% |
| Málaga | 15.0% |
| Elche | 15.0% |
| Celta | 15.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full La Liga 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.