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Union Berlin

Union Berlin Conference League Chances

Bundesliga 26/27

1.5%
Winner
9.1%
Champions League
3.5%
Europa League
3.8%
Conference League
11.1%
Relegation

Union Berlin face long odds for Conference League qualification, with only a 3.8% probability.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 3Last updated: 1 day ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner1.5%
Champions League9.1%
Europa League3.5%
Conference League3.8%
Relegation11.1%

Union Berlin are currently 16th in the Bundesliga 26/27 table with 3 matches played (0W 1D 2L, 1 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 3.8%, Union Berlin are currently a long shot for Conference League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Union Berlin's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Union Berlin's probability of Conference League qualification has dropped from 7.7% to 3.8%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Union Berlin achieves Conference League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Bundesliga 26/27 — Conference League odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Bundesliga 26/27 table →

View full Union Berlin stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.