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Australia Knockout Chances 2026 — 56.3%

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round 6 of 94 · Rank #26 · 0 MP

How far can Australia go at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? CupChances simulates millions of possible tournament outcomes to track Australia's live odds of advancing from the group stage, reaching the knockout rounds, and winning the title against a 48-team field.

Last updated: June 13, 2026

Australia FIFA World Cup 2026 — Key Insights
0.4%
Winner
43.7%
Group Stage Exit
#26
Position
Australia are strong contenders for Knockout at 56.3%, currently ranked 26th — updated after every match.

Live — Updated at

Current Probabilities:

  • Winner: 0.4%
  • Final: 1.5%
  • Semifinals: 3.1%
  • Quarterfinals: 7.8%
  • Round of 16: 16.5%
  • Knockout: 56.3%
  • Group Stage Exit: 43.7%

← View all FIFA World Cup 2026 standings and odds

See also:

Japan Knockout ChancesTunisia Knockout ChancesTurkey Knockout ChancesNorway Knockout ChancesCanada Knockout ChancesEgypt Knockout ChancesQatar Knockout ChancesBosnia and Herzegovina Knockout ChancesScotland Knockout ChancesAlgeria Knockout Chances

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Australia#26Winner: 0.4%Final: 1.5%Semifinals: 3.1%Quarterfinals: 7.8%Round of 16: 16.5%Knockout: 56.3%Group Stage Exit: 43.7%4:00 AMTurkey#23Winner: 0.6%Final: 2.1%Semifinals: 4.4%Quarterfinals: 10.5%Round of 16: 21.9%Knockout: 70.0%Group Stage Exit: 30.0%
United States#6Winner: 5.6%Final: 17.1%Semifinals: 27.6%Quarterfinals: 43.6%Round of 16: 62.1%Knockout: 98.2%Group Stage Exit: 1.8%7:00 PMAustralia#26Winner: 0.4%Final: 1.5%Semifinals: 3.1%Quarterfinals: 7.8%Round of 16: 16.5%Knockout: 56.3%Group Stage Exit: 43.7%
Paraguay#36Winner: 0.1%Final: 0.3%Semifinals: 0.7%Quarterfinals: 2.4%Round of 16: 6.0%Knockout: 30.0%Group Stage Exit: 70.0%2:00 AMAustralia#26Winner: 0.4%Final: 1.5%Semifinals: 3.1%Quarterfinals: 7.8%Round of 16: 16.5%Knockout: 56.3%Group Stage Exit: 43.7%

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway