Alavés Europa League Chances
La Liga 26/27
Alavés are an outside contender for Europa League qualification, with a 7.1% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 7.7% |
| Champions League | 30.5% |
| Europa League | 7.1% |
| Conference League | 6.7% |
| Relegation | 5.6% |
Alavés are currently 4th in the La Liga 26/27 table with 3 matches played (2W 1D 0L, 7 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 7.1%, Alavés are currently a outside contender for Europa League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Alavés's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Alavés's probability of Europa League qualification has dropped from 14.3% to 7.1%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Alavés achieves Europa League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 La Liga 26/27 — Europa League odds for every team
| Barcelona | 7.2% |
| Betis | 7.6% |
| Real Madrid | 7.6% |
| Osasuna | 6.9% |
| Real Sociedad | 6.1% |
| Athletic Bilbao | 6.4% |
| Levante | 6.0% |
| Atlético de Madrid | 5.0% |
| Sevilla | 5.1% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full La Liga 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.