Atlético de Madrid Round of 16 Chances

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Atlético de Madrid are currently 35th in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 0 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 6.9%, Atlético de Madrid are currently a outside contender for reaching the Round of 16. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Atlético de Madrid's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 18 rounds, Atlético de Madrid's probability of reaching the Round of 16 has dropped from 20% to 6.9%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Atlético de Madrid achieves reaching the Round of 16 across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Champions League 2026/27 — Round of 16 odds for every team

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