Dortmund
Dortmund UCL Chances 2027 — 56.0%
Bundesliga 26/27 · Round 4 of 34 · Rank #1 · 4 MP
Live — Updated at
Dortmund are 1st in the Bundesliga 26/27 2027 season after 4 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 56.0% chance of ucl — with 30 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 4 Bundesliga 26/27 matches, Dortmund have recorded 2 wins, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their ucl probability, Dortmund's win chance currently stands at 21.1%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Bundesliga 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Dortmund's 2027 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 21.1%
- UCL: 56.0%
- UEL: 7.8%
- ECL: 6.5%
- Releg: 0.3%
More analysis
← View all Bundesliga 26/27 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
5:00 PM
Werder Bremen#8Win: 5.5%UCL: 25.6%UEL: 6.8%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 2.3%
5:00 PMDortmund#1Win: 21.1%UCL: 56.0%UEL: 7.8%ECL: 6.5%Releg: 0.3%
5:00 PMDortmund#1Win: 21.1%UCL: 56.0%UEL: 7.8%ECL: 6.5%Releg: 0.3%5:00 PM
Elversberg#7Win: 5.7%UCL: 25.7%UEL: 6.8%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.2%Latest News
Title Showdown and Relegation Thrills Await in Bundesliga's Fourth Round
Match PreviewAs the Bundesliga marches into its fourth round, the stage is set for a thrilling weekend that could reshape the title race and alter the trajectory of qualific…
Knockout Stage: Round 1 Preview
Knockout PreviewThe Round 1 of the knockout stage presents a diverse array of match-ups, each with varying probabilities of advancement. AEK Athens and LASK meet with LASK hold…
Dortmund Secures Thrilling 3-2 Win Over Frankfurt in Season Finale Showdown
Match ReportIn a match that was more about pride than points, Borussia Dortmund edged past Eintracht Frankfurt with a thrilling 3-2 victory at Signal Iduna Park. Although t…
St. Pauli's Relegation Odds Soar After Defeat as Wolfsburg Sees Positive Trend
Round-upSt. Pauli's probability of relegation has risen significantly, from 43.9% to now stand at 59.6%, following their 1-2 defeat to FSV Mainz. This result has left t…
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |  | VfB Stuttgart#14Win: 1.6%UCL: 10.2%UEL: 3.9%ECL: 4.3%Releg: 8.5% | 0 - 1 | Dortmund |
| 2026-09-12 | | Dortmund | 3 - 0 |  Paderborn#16Win: 1.3%UCL: 8.9%UEL: 3.4%ECL: 3.9%Releg: 10.5% |
| 2026-09-08 | Dortmund | 3 - 2 | Villarreal | |
| 2026-09-05 | | Hoffenheim#13Win: 2.8%UCL: 15.2%UEL: 4.9%ECL: 5.2%Releg: 5.7% | 2 - 3 | Dortmund |
| 2026-08-29 | | Dortmund | 2 - 0 |  Hamburger SV#15Win: 1.6%UCL: 10.0%UEL: 3.9%ECL: 4.2%Releg: 9.4% |