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Bundesliga 26/27·2026-10-25·Round 7

Hoffenheim's Rise After Decisive Win

By Alberto Ibarra · · Round-up

Hoffenheim's Rise After Decisive Win

Hoffenheim's 3-0 victory against Bayer Leverkusen has significantly altered their championship probabilities. The win decreased Hoffenheim's relegation risk from 7.0% to 4.0%. Simultaneously, they entered the Europa League race, with their probability moving from 4.1% to 5.5%, and the Conference League race, shifting from 4.6% to 5.8%. Their Champions League chances also saw a notable increase from 10.5% to 15.4%.

Bayern München's triumph over SC Freiburg, with a 3-1 scoreline, has propelled their Champions League probability upwards by 10.6%, now standing at 63.0%. Their chances of winning the league have also increased by 7.3%, reaching 25.0%. In contrast, SC Freiburg's defeat has decreased their Champions League probability by 8.8%, now at 36.4%, and their title chances have fallen by 4.7%, dropping to 8.6%.

Bayer Leverkusen, after their loss to Hoffenheim, experienced a decline in their Champions League probability, which fell by 8.4% to 35.5%. Their chances of winning the league also decreased by 3.9%, now at 8.2%. Over the past two rounds, Leverkusen's Champions League probability has dropped by 9.9%, indicating a downward trend.

Looking ahead, Bayern München and Borussia Dortmund remain tied in points at the top of the standings. Their continued performance will be crucial in the coming rounds, where every match could further impact the championship race.

Live probability analysis

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