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Aston Villa Releg Chances 2027 — 23.3%

Premier League 26/27 · Round 5 of 38 · Rank #16 · 5 MP

Aston Villa Premier League 26/27 — Key Insights
1.4%
Win
23.3%
Releg
#16
Position
LLDLW
Last 5 matches
Aston Villa are in realistic contention for Releg at 23.3%, currently ranked 16th — updated after every match.

Live Updated at

Aston Villa are 16th in the Premier League 26/27 2027 season after 5 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 23.3% chance of releg — with 33 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.

In their last 5 Premier League 26/27 matches, Aston Villa have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.

Alongside their releg probability, Aston Villa's win chance currently stands at 1.4%.

Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Aston Villa's 2027 season has evolved round by round.

Current Probabilities:

  • Win: 1.4%
  • UCL: 8.9%
  • UEL: 3.4%
  • Releg: 23.3%

More analysis

← View all Premier League 26/27 standings and odds

See also:

Next matches

Times in Coordinated Universal Time

Aston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.9%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.3%2:00 PMBrentford#4Win: 6.7%UCL: 28.3%UEL: 6.7%Releg: 6.2%
83%
4%
Newcastle#9Win: 4.5%UCL: 21.7%UEL: 6.0%Releg: 8.7%4:30 PMAston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.9%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.3%
75%
9%
Aston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.9%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.3%11:30 AMMan City#1Win: 25.9%UCL: 60.8%UEL: 7.2%Releg: 0.9%
83%
4%
Aston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.9%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.3%8:00 PMFulham#20Win: 0.9%UCL: 6.3%UEL: 2.6%Releg: 30.2%
83%
4%
Man United#13Win: 2.2%UCL: 12.9%UEL: 4.4%Releg: 16.5%3:00 PMAston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.9%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.3%
88%
3%

Latest News

Results so far

DateHomeScoreAway
2026-09-19English Premier LeagueTottenham#19Win: 0.7%UCL: 5.1%UEL: 2.2%Releg: 33.8%2 - 3Aston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.9%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.3%
2026-09-12English Premier LeagueAston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.9%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.3%1 - 2Forest
2026-09-08Club Brugge2 - 3Aston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.9%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.3%
2026-09-05English Premier LeagueHull City#8Win: 4.8%UCL: 22.5%UEL: 6.2%Releg: 8.5%0 - 0Aston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.9%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.3%
2026-08-31English Premier LeagueAston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.9%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.3%0 - 1Arsenal#2Win: 13.2%UCL: 43.3%UEL: 7.5%Releg: 2.6%
2026-08-23English Premier LeagueBrighton#3Win: 8.9%UCL: 33.4%UEL: 7.1%Releg: 4.9%4 - 0Aston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.9%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.3%