Dortmund
Dortmund UCL Chances 2027 — 55.8%
Bundesliga 26/27 · Round 4 of 34 · Rank #1 · 4 MP
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Dortmund are 1st in the Bundesliga 26/27 2027 season after 4 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 55.8% chance of ucl — with 30 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 4 Bundesliga 26/27 matches, Dortmund have recorded 2 wins, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their ucl probability, Dortmund's win chance currently stands at 21.2%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Bundesliga 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Dortmund's 2027 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 21.2%
- UCL: 55.8%
- UEL: 7.7%
- ECL: 6.5%
- Releg: 0.3%
More analysis
← View all Bundesliga 26/27 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
5:00 PM
Werder Bremen#7Win: 5.4%UCL: 25.4%UEL: 6.6%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.3%
5:00 PMDortmund#1Win: 21.2%UCL: 55.8%UEL: 7.7%ECL: 6.5%Releg: 0.3%
5:00 PMDortmund#1Win: 21.2%UCL: 55.8%UEL: 7.7%ECL: 6.5%Releg: 0.3%5:00 PM
Elversberg#9Win: 6.4%UCL: 27.5%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 6.8%Releg: 2.2%Latest News
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |  | VfB Stuttgart#14Win: 1.5%UCL: 10.2%UEL: 3.9%ECL: 4.3%Releg: 8.3% | 0 - 1 | Dortmund |
| 2026-09-12 | | Dortmund | 3 - 0 |  Paderborn#16Win: 1.3%UCL: 8.8%UEL: 3.3%ECL: 3.8%Releg: 10.8% |
| 2026-09-08 | Dortmund | 3 - 2 | Villarreal | |
| 2026-09-05 | | Hoffenheim#13Win: 2.6%UCL: 14.6%UEL: 4.9%ECL: 5.2%Releg: 5.9% | 2 - 3 | Dortmund |
| 2026-08-29 | | Dortmund | 2 - 0 |  Hamburger SV#15Win: 1.5%UCL: 9.9%UEL: 3.8%ECL: 4.1%Releg: 9.4% |