Arsenal
Arsenal UCL Chances 2027 — 43.3%
Premier League 26/27 · Round 5 of 38 · Rank #2 · 5 MP
Live — Updated at
Arsenal are 2nd in the Premier League 26/27 2027 season after 5 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 43.3% chance of ucl — with 33 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 Premier League 26/27 matches, Arsenal have recorded 4 wins, 1 defeat. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their ucl probability, Arsenal's win chance currently stands at 13.2%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining Premier League 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Arsenal's 2027 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 13.2%
- UCL: 43.3%
- UEL: 7.5%
- Releg: 2.6%
More analysis
← View all Premier League 26/27 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
11:30 AM
Leeds United#5Win: 6.2%UCL: 27.5%UEL: 6.7%Releg: 6.4%
Latest News
Title: Arsenal and Manchester City Eye Top Spot in High-Stakes Round 5
Match PreviewThis weekend's fixtures in the championship are set to shake up the standings, with top teams vying for crucial points in the title race and others fighting to …
Manchester's Battle and Arsenal's Ascent: A Weekend of Destiny
Match PreviewThe Premier League is set to explode with drama this weekend as two colossal fixtures could send shockwaves through the title race and beyond. The anticipation …
Knockout Stage: Round 1 Preview
Knockout PreviewThe Round 1 of the knockout stage presents a diverse array of match-ups, each with varying probabilities of advancement. AEK Athens and LASK meet with LASK hold…
Aston Villa Clinches Champions League Spot as Liverpool Secures Europa League
Round-upIn a thrilling conclusion to the Premier League season, Aston Villa has secured a coveted spot in the Champions League, edging out Liverpool, which will instead…
Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |  | Brighton#3Win: 8.9%UCL: 33.4%UEL: 7.1%Releg: 4.9% | 3 - 0 | Arsenal#2Win: 13.2%UCL: 43.3%UEL: 7.5%Releg: 2.6% |
| 2026-09-12 | | Sunderland#14Win: 1.3%UCL: 8.8%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 22.7% | 0 - 2 | Arsenal#2Win: 13.2%UCL: 43.3%UEL: 7.5%Releg: 2.6% |
| 2026-09-09 | Napoli | 0 - 1 | Arsenal#2Win: 13.2%UCL: 43.3%UEL: 7.5%Releg: 2.6% | |
| 2026-09-06 | | Arsenal#2Win: 13.2%UCL: 43.3%UEL: 7.5%Releg: 2.6% | 2 - 1 |  Chelsea#10Win: 3.3%UCL: 17.5%UEL: 5.4%Releg: 11.4% |
| 2026-08-31 | | Aston Villa#16Win: 1.4%UCL: 8.9%UEL: 3.4%Releg: 23.3% | 0 - 1 | Arsenal#2Win: 13.2%UCL: 43.3%UEL: 7.5%Releg: 2.6% |
| 2026-08-21 | | Arsenal#2Win: 13.2%UCL: 43.3%UEL: 7.5%Releg: 2.6% | 3 - 0 |  Coventry City#18Win: 1.0%UCL: 6.8%UEL: 2.7%Releg: 29.0% |