Real Madrid
Real Madrid UCL Chances 2027 — 56.8%
La Liga 26/27 · Round 7 of 38 · Rank #2 · 7 MP
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Real Madrid are 2nd in the La Liga 26/27 2027 season after 7 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 56.8% chance of ucl — with 31 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 La Liga 26/27 matches, Real Madrid have recorded 3 wins, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their ucl probability, Real Madrid's win chance currently stands at 15.6%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining La Liga 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Real Madrid's 2027 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 15.6%
- UCL: 56.8%
- UEL: 8.4%
- ECL: 6.7%
- Releg: 0.8%
More analysis
← View all La Liga 26/27 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
2-0Real Madrid#2Win: 15.6%UCL: 56.8%UEL: 8.4%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 0.8%5:00 PM
Villarreal#16Win: 0.8%UCL: 7.7%UEL: 3.5%ECL: 3.9%Releg: 20.8%5:00 PM
Sevilla#5Win: 3.0%UCL: 21.5%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 7.1%Releg: 6.5%
8:00 PMReal Madrid#2Win: 15.6%UCL: 56.8%UEL: 8.4%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 0.8%
5:00 PMReal Madrid#2Win: 15.6%UCL: 56.8%UEL: 8.4%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 0.8%Latest News
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |  | Atlético Madrid | 2 - 0 | Real Madrid#2Win: 15.6%UCL: 56.8%UEL: 8.4%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 0.8% |
| 2026-09-15 | | Elche#15Win: 0.4%UCL: 4.8%UEL: 2.5%ECL: 3.0%Releg: 28.5% | 2 - 3 | Real Madrid#2Win: 15.6%UCL: 56.8%UEL: 8.4%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 0.8% |
| 2026-09-12 | | Real Madrid#2Win: 15.6%UCL: 56.8%UEL: 8.4%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 0.8% | 4 - 1 |  Rayo Vallecano#8Win: 1.6%UCL: 13.5%UEL: 5.3%ECL: 5.7%Releg: 11.7% |
| 2026-09-08 | Real Madrid#2Win: 15.6%UCL: 56.8%UEL: 8.4%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 0.8% | 2 - 1 | Inter | |
| 2026-09-04 | | Betis#3Win: 15.8%UCL: 57.1%UEL: 8.5%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 0.7% | 1 - 0 | Real Madrid#2Win: 15.6%UCL: 56.8%UEL: 8.4%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 0.8% |
| 2026-08-30 | | Real Madrid#2Win: 15.6%UCL: 56.8%UEL: 8.4%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 0.8% | 4 - 0 |  Málaga#19Win: 0.2%UCL: 2.6%UEL: 1.5%ECL: 1.9%Releg: 40.5% |
| 2026-08-26 | | Real Madrid#2Win: 15.6%UCL: 56.8%UEL: 8.4%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 0.8% | 4 - 1 |  Real Sociedad#12Win: 1.9%UCL: 14.9%UEL: 5.5%ECL: 5.7%Releg: 11.5% |
| 2026-08-22 | | Espanyol#17Win: 0.4%UCL: 5.0%UEL: 2.6%ECL: 3.1%Releg: 27.4% | 1 - 2 | Real Madrid#2Win: 15.6%UCL: 56.8%UEL: 8.4%ECL: 6.7%Releg: 0.8% |