Aston Villa Round of 16 Chances
Champions League 2026/27
Aston Villa are strong contenders for reaching the Round of 16, sitting at 59.5%.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Champion | 0.8% |
| Final | 3.0% |
| Semifinals | 9.3% |
| Quarterfinals | 25.3% |
| Round of 16 | 59.5% |
| Playoff Spot | 86.2% |
| Eliminated | 13.8% |
Aston Villa are currently 12th in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 3 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 59.5%, Aston Villa are currently a strong contender for reaching the Round of 16. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Aston Villa's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 18 rounds, Aston Villa's probability of reaching the Round of 16 has climbed from 29.4% to 59.5%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Aston Villa achieves reaching the Round of 16 across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Champions League 2026/27 — Round of 16 odds for every team
| Bayern München | 98.5% |
| Barcelona | 95.5% |
| Inter | 91.6% |
| Manchester City | 92.8% |
| Arsenal | 87.9% |
| Manchester United | 82.0% |
| Real Madrid | 77.3% |
| Roma | 68.7% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 57.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.