Real Madrid
Real Madrid UCL Chances 2027 — 50.4%
La Liga 26/27 · Round 7 of 38 · Rank #3 · 7 MP
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Real Madrid are 3rd in the La Liga 26/27 2027 season after 7 matches. Our football supercomputer currently assigns them a 50.4% chance of ucl — with 31 rounds still to play, the final standings remain far from decided.
In their last 5 La Liga 26/27 matches, Real Madrid have recorded 3 wins, 2 defeats. Each result directly shifts the simulation output, and a single run of games can move a team's probability by double digits.
Alongside their ucl probability, Real Madrid's win chance currently stands at 12.5%.
Every 10 minutes during each match, our supercomputer re-runs up to millions of simulations of all remaining La Liga 26/27 fixtures simultaneously — accounting for every team's form, remaining schedule and goal difference. The chart below shows how Real Madrid's 2027 season has evolved round by round.
Current Probabilities:
- Win: 12.5%
- UCL: 50.4%
- UEL: 8.9%
- ECL: 7.3%
- Releg: 1.1%
More analysis
← View all La Liga 26/27 standings and odds
See also:
Next matches
Times in Coordinated Universal Time
5:00 PM
Villarreal#16Win: 0.7%UCL: 7.3%UEL: 3.5%ECL: 4.0%Releg: 20.9%5:00 PM
Sevilla#5Win: 3.1%UCL: 21.3%UEL: 6.9%ECL: 7.2%Releg: 6.4%
8:00 PMReal Madrid#3Win: 12.5%UCL: 50.4%UEL: 8.9%ECL: 7.3%Releg: 1.1%
5:00 PMReal Madrid#3Win: 12.5%UCL: 50.4%UEL: 8.9%ECL: 7.3%Releg: 1.1%
5:00 PMReal Madrid#3Win: 12.5%UCL: 50.4%UEL: 8.9%ECL: 7.3%Releg: 1.1%Latest News
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Results so far
| Date | Home | Score | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |  | Atlético Madrid | 2 - 1 | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.5%UCL: 50.4%UEL: 8.9%ECL: 7.3%Releg: 1.1% |
| 2026-09-15 | | Elche#15Win: 0.4%UCL: 4.7%UEL: 2.4%ECL: 2.9%Releg: 28.5% | 2 - 3 | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.5%UCL: 50.4%UEL: 8.9%ECL: 7.3%Releg: 1.1% |
| 2026-09-12 | | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.5%UCL: 50.4%UEL: 8.9%ECL: 7.3%Releg: 1.1% | 4 - 1 |  Rayo Vallecano#8Win: 1.6%UCL: 13.4%UEL: 5.1%ECL: 5.6%Releg: 11.9% |
| 2026-09-08 | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.5%UCL: 50.4%UEL: 8.9%ECL: 7.3%Releg: 1.1% | 2 - 1 | Inter | |
| 2026-09-04 | | Betis#2Win: 15.9%UCL: 56.6%UEL: 8.5%ECL: 7.0%Releg: 0.7% | 1 - 0 | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.5%UCL: 50.4%UEL: 8.9%ECL: 7.3%Releg: 1.1% |
| 2026-08-30 | | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.5%UCL: 50.4%UEL: 8.9%ECL: 7.3%Releg: 1.1% | 4 - 0 |  Málaga#19Win: 0.2%UCL: 2.5%UEL: 1.5%ECL: 1.8%Releg: 40.6% |
| 2026-08-26 | | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.5%UCL: 50.4%UEL: 8.9%ECL: 7.3%Releg: 1.1% | 4 - 1 |  Real Sociedad#12Win: 1.9%UCL: 14.4%UEL: 5.3%ECL: 5.6%Releg: 11.8% |
| 2026-08-22 | | Espanyol#17Win: 0.4%UCL: 4.9%UEL: 2.6%ECL: 3.0%Releg: 27.3% | 1 - 2 | Real Madrid#3Win: 12.5%UCL: 50.4%UEL: 8.9%ECL: 7.3%Releg: 1.1% |