Atlético-MG Reaches Quarterfinals Chances
Copa do Brasil 2026
Atlético-MG remain in realistic contention for reaching the Quarterfinals at 39.6%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 5.6% |
| Reaches Final | 14.7% |
| Reaches Semifinals | 14.7% |
| Reaches Quarterfinals | 39.6% |
| Reaches Round of 16 | 100.0% |
Atlético-MG are currently 8th in the Copa do Brasil 2026 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 0 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 39.6%, Atlético-MG are currently a realistic contender for reaching the Quarterfinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Atlético-MG's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Atlético-MG achieves reaching the Quarterfinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Copa do Brasil 2026 — Reaches Quarterfinals odds for every team
| Palmeiras | 73.9% |
| Grêmio | 59.9% |
| Cruzeiro | 49.5% |
| Santos | 48.2% |
| Internacional | 45.3% |
| Vasco | 42.6% |
| Vitória | 40.9% |
| Mirassol | 0.0% |
| Chapecoense | 0.0% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Copa do Brasil 2026 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.