Bayern München Winner Chances
Bundesliga 26/27
Bayern München are an outside contender for winning the title, with a 14.3% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 14.3% |
| Champions League | 44.9% |
| Europa League | 7.8% |
| Conference League | 6.9% |
| Relegation | 0.7% |
Bayern München are currently 2nd in the Bundesliga 26/27 table with 4 matches played (3W 1D 0L, 10 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 14.3%, Bayern München are currently a outside contender for winning the title. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Bayern München's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Bayern München's probability of winning the title has climbed from 7% to 14.3%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Bayern München achieves winning the title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Bundesliga 26/27 — Winner odds for every team
| Borussia Dortmund | 21.1% |
| SC Freiburg | 14.0% |
| FC Augsburg | 6.1% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 6.0% |
| FSV Mainz | 6.0% |
| Elversberg | 5.8% |
| SV Werder Bremen | 5.5% |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig | 4.5% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 3.1% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Bundesliga 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.