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Bayern München

Bayern München Quarterfinals Chances

Champions League 2026/27

25.8%
Champion
40.1%
Final
58.9%
Semifinals
82.3%
↑ +0.1% since last round
Quarterfinals
98.5%
Round of 16
99.8%
Playoff Spot
0.2%
Eliminated

Bayern München are the clear favourite for reaching the Quarterfinals with a 82.3% probability, and their odds are rising after the latest results.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 18Last updated: 25 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Champion25.8%
Final40.1%
Semifinals58.9%
Quarterfinals82.3%
Round of 1698.5%
Playoff Spot99.8%
Eliminated0.2%

Bayern München are currently 1st in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 3 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 82.3%, Bayern München are currently a strong contender for reaching the Quarterfinals. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Bayern München's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 18 rounds, Bayern München's probability of reaching the Quarterfinals has climbed from 79.6% to 82.3%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Bayern München achieves reaching the Quarterfinals across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Champions League 2026/27 — Quarterfinals odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →

View full Bayern München stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.