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Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund Relegation Chances

Bundesliga 26/27

21.1%
Winner
56.0%
Champions League
7.7%
Europa League
6.5%
Conference League
0.3%
Relegation

Borussia Dortmund face long odds for relegation, with only a 0.3% probability.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 4Last updated: 15 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner21.1%
Champions League56.0%
Europa League7.7%
Conference League6.5%
Relegation0.3%

Borussia Dortmund are currently 1st in the Bundesliga 26/27 table with 4 matches played (4W 0D 0L, 12 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 0.3%, Borussia Dortmund are currently a long shot for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Borussia Dortmund's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Borussia Dortmund's probability of relegation has dropped from 1.6% to 0.3%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Borussia Dortmund achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Bundesliga 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Bundesliga 26/27 table →

View full Borussia Dortmund stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.