Borussia Dortmund Winner Chances
Bundesliga 26/27
Borussia Dortmund remain in realistic contention for winning the title at 21.1%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 21.1% |
| Champions League | 56.0% |
| Europa League | 7.7% |
| Conference League | 6.5% |
| Relegation | 0.3% |
Borussia Dortmund are currently 1st in the Bundesliga 26/27 table with 4 matches played (4W 0D 0L, 12 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 21.1%, Borussia Dortmund are currently a realistic contender for winning the title. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Borussia Dortmund's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Borussia Dortmund's probability of winning the title has climbed from 11.1% to 21.1%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Borussia Dortmund achieves winning the title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Bundesliga 26/27 — Winner odds for every team
| Bayern München | 14.3% |
| SC Freiburg | 14.0% |
| FC Augsburg | 6.1% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 6.0% |
| FSV Mainz | 6.0% |
| Elversberg | 5.8% |
| SV Werder Bremen | 5.5% |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig | 4.5% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 3.1% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Bundesliga 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.