
Borussia Dortmund Round of 16 Chances
Champions League 2026/27
Borussia Dortmund are strong contenders for reaching the Round of 16, sitting at 57.4%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Champion | 1.1% |
| Final | 3.6% |
| Semifinals | 10.2% |
| Quarterfinals | 25.4% |
| Round of 16 | 57.4% |
| Playoff Spot | 82.7% |
| Eliminated | 17.3% |
Borussia Dortmund are currently 9th in the Champions League 2026/27 table with 0 matches played (0W 0D 0L, 3 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 57.4%, Borussia Dortmund are currently a strong contender for reaching the Round of 16. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Borussia Dortmund's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 18 rounds, Borussia Dortmund's probability of reaching the Round of 16 has climbed from 50.4% to 57.4%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Borussia Dortmund achieves reaching the Round of 16 across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Champions League 2026/27 — Round of 16 odds for every team
| Bayern München | 98.5% |
| Barcelona | 95.5% |
| Inter | 91.6% |
| Manchester City | 92.8% |
| Arsenal | 87.9% |
| Manchester United | 82.0% |
| Real Madrid | 77.3% |
| Roma | 68.7% |
| Napoli | 48.7% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Champions League 2026/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.