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Cagliari

Cagliari Relegation Chances

Serie A 26/27

9.0%
Winner
26.3%
Champions League Groups
15.0%
Europe League Groups
6.2%
Conference League Qualifying
2.9%
↓ -0.1% since last round
Relegation

Cagliari face long odds for relegation, with only a 2.9% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 5Last updated: 15 days ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner9.0%
Champions League Groups26.3%
Europe League Groups15.0%
Conference League Qualifying6.2%
Relegation2.9%

Cagliari are currently 4th in the Serie A 26/27 table with 5 matches played (4W 0D 1L, 12 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 2.9%, Cagliari are currently a long shot for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Cagliari's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Cagliari's probability of relegation has dropped from 5.6% to 2.9%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Cagliari achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Serie A 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team

Roma2.0%
Inter2.1%
Lazio1.4%
Milan3.9%
Juventus3.9%
Frosinone3.8%
Como3.9%
Napoli9.0%
Sassuolo9.1%

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Serie A 26/27 table →

View full Cagliari stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.