Carrarese Relegation Chances
Serie B 26/27
Carrarese remain in realistic contention for relegation at 40.8%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.5% |
| Promotion | 1.4% |
| Playoff | 11.6% |
| Playout | 15.2% |
| Relegation | 40.8% |
Carrarese are currently 20th in the Serie B 26/27 table with 5 matches played (0W 1D 4L, 1 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 40.8%, Carrarese are currently a realistic contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Carrarese's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Carrarese's probability of relegation has climbed from 33.4% to 40.8%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Carrarese achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Serie B 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team
| Palermo | 2.0% |
| Sudtirol | 3.9% |
| Mantova | 3.9% |
| Modena | 5.3% |
| Ascoli | 5.4% |
| Padova | 12.6% |
| Benevento | 12.4% |
| Hellas Verona | 11.5% |
| Avellino | 11.9% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Serie B 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.