Derby County Relegation Chances
Championship 26/27
Derby County remain in realistic contention for relegation at 32.0%, and their odds are rising after the latest results.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.5% |
| Promotion | 1.2% |
| Playoff | 5.2% |
| Relegation | 32.0% |
Derby County are currently 22nd in the Championship 26/27 table with 8 matches played (1W 2D 5L, 5 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 32%, Derby County are currently a realistic contender for relegation. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Derby County's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Derby County achieves relegation across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Championship 26/27 — Relegation odds for every team
| Swansea City | 1.7% |
| West Ham | 3.0% |
| Middlesbrough | 3.2% |
| Southampton | 4.1% |
| Wolverhampton | 2.9% |
| West Bromwich Albion | 4.2% |
| Queens Park Rangers | 5.4% |
| Stoke City | 5.5% |
| Bristol City | 5.7% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Championship 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.