Derby County Winner Chances
Championship 26/27
Derby County face long odds for winning the title, with only a 0.5% probability.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 0.5% |
| Promotion | 1.2% |
| Playoff | 5.2% |
| Relegation | 32.0% |
Derby County are currently 22nd in the Championship 26/27 table with 8 matches played (1W 2D 5L, 5 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 0.5%, Derby County are currently a long shot for winning the title. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Derby County's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Derby County achieves winning the title across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Championship 26/27 — Winner odds for every team
| Swansea City | 13.9% |
| West Ham | 9.5% |
| Middlesbrough | 8.8% |
| Southampton | 7.5% |
| Wolverhampton | 9.8% |
| West Bromwich Albion | 6.8% |
| Queens Park Rangers | 5.5% |
| Stoke City | 5.3% |
| Bristol City | 5.2% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Championship 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.