Fiorentina Champions League Groups Chances
Serie A 26/27
Fiorentina are an outside contender for Champions League qualification, with a 5.8% probability, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 1.4% |
| Champions League Groups | 5.8% |
| Europe League Groups | 7.3% |
| Conference League Qualifying | 4.6% |
| Relegation | 19.9% |
Fiorentina are currently 17th in the Serie A 26/27 table with 5 matches played (1W 1D 3L, 4 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 5.8%, Fiorentina are currently a outside contender for Champions League qualification. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Fiorentina's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last round, Fiorentina's probability of Champions League qualification has dropped from 7.5% to 5.8%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Fiorentina achieves Champions League qualification across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Serie A 26/27 — Champions League Groups odds for every team
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Serie A 26/27 table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.