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Fortaleza

Fortaleza Promotion Chances

Brasileiro 2026, Serie B

5.6%
Winner
36.4%
↓ -0.5% since last round
Promotion
0.3%
Relegation

Fortaleza remain in realistic contention for promotion at 36.4%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.

Live — updated every 10 minutes during every matchRound 23Last updated: 12 hours ago

📊 Full Probability Breakdown

Winner5.6%
Promotion36.4%
Relegation0.3%

Fortaleza are currently 4th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 22 matches played (10W 6D 6L, 36 pts).

Probability History

🔍 What This Means

At 36.4%, Fortaleza are currently a realistic contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Fortaleza's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Fortaleza's probability of promotion has dropped from 41.6% to 36.4%.

How These Probabilities Are Calculated

CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Fortaleza achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.

📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team

Criciúma84.9%
Juventude73.8%
Vila Nova46.0%
Operário-PR29.5%
Sport26.7%
Novorizontino23.5%
Athletic Club21.0%
CRB17.2%
Atlético-GO9.9%

Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →

View full Fortaleza stats →

Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.