Fortaleza Promotion Chances
Brasileiro 2026, Serie B
Fortaleza remain in realistic contention for promotion at 44.3%, though their odds slipped after the latest round.
📊 Full Probability Breakdown
| Winner | 4.5% |
| Promotion | 44.3% |
| Relegation | 0.0% |
Fortaleza are currently 5th in the Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table with 31 matches played (14W 11D 6L, 53 pts).
Probability History
🔍 What This Means
At 44.3%, Fortaleza are currently a realistic contender for promotion. These probabilities are recalculated every 10 minutes during every match. See Fortaleza's full stats and historical probability chart on their team page. Over the last 2 rounds, Fortaleza's probability of promotion has dropped from 61.1% to 44.3%.
How These Probabilities Are Calculated
CupChances runs 1 million Monte Carlo simulations every 10 minutes during every match. Each simulation plays out the remaining fixtures using a statistical model built on current standings, points, goal difference, and head-to-head form. The percentage shown is how often Fortaleza achieves promotion across all those simulated seasons. Probabilities update automatically — no manual intervention required.
📋 Brasileiro 2026, Serie B — Promotion odds for every team
| Juventude | 95.1% |
| Vila Nova | 90.1% |
| Novorizontino | 62.3% |
| Criciúma | 48.3% |
| Atlético-GO | 35.8% |
| Sport | 8.0% |
| CRB | 8.2% |
| Operário-PR | 5.9% |
| Cuiabá | 1.4% |
Showing top 9 teams by league position. View full Brasileiro 2026, Serie B table →
Includes historical probability chart, all fixtures, and live standings.